[log in to unmask]" class="" width="79" height="47">'
A.
Nathans, May
11, "When
Serena Ren
presented her
senior thesis
on using
machine
learning for
art appraisals
last month,
she hoped to
see her
friend, Joyce
Luo, present
her thesis on
fighting
opioid
addiction. But
since all
students in
the Department
of Operations
Research and
Financial
Engineering
present their
theses in
parallel
sessions, this
was
impossible.
But on May 4,
Ren and Luo
finally got to
see each
other’s
presentations
in a classroom
in Sherrerd
Hall, thanks
to the
department’s
first-ever
event in which
selected
students
present their
thesis work to
the whole
department....
" Read
more
Hmmmm... I'm so proud! Hopefully we'll be able to
release the
video so you
can enjoy.
Keep trying
the link:
PAVE,
May 4,
"Autonomous
vehicle
technologies
offer
incredible
potential:
they could
make our
highways
safer, they
could offer
new mobility
options for
people who
can’t drive,
and they could
help create a
more equitable
transportation
system for
those who are
not
well-served by
our current
system.
During the
month of May,
we are
highlighting
places where
AVs are in use
— today —
being
deployed,
tested, and
used for
public good.
We want to
look at
examples of
the technology
being used to
serve food
deserts, to
expand access
to rural
communities,
to offer new
accessibility
options, and
more.
We are
starting with
the Trenton
MOVES
initiative,
which is the
first
large-scale
urban transit
system in
America based
entirely on
self-driving
shuttles. The
shuttles,
which carry
four to eight
passengers,
serve
traditionally
underserved
Trenton
neighborhoods,
where 70% of
households
have limited
access to a
single
automobile, or
no access at
all. Our
panelists will
detail the
program,
describing how
it works, the
results it has
achieved, and
their vision
for the
future......"
Read
more
Hmmmm...
Very nice. Be
sure to
watch video
😁 and see ZoomCast 267 Alain
P.
Keller, April
29, "New
Jersey
recently
announced a $5
million grant
for the
Trenton
Mobility &
Opportunity:
Vehicles
Equity System
or MOVES
Project. The
grant to the
City of
Trenton will
support the
planned start
up and
eventual
deployment of
100 Autonomous
Vehicles that
will provide
an on-demand
automated
transit system
to serve the
90,000
residents of
Trenton....."
Read
more
Hmmmm...
Very nice. 😁
AlainSaturday,
April 23, 2022
[log in to unmask]" alt="" class=""> Knight
Foundation
April 21, "CARTS Executive Director Jerry
He explains to
the audience
at #CoMotionMiami
that:
[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="402" height="226" border="0">
H.
Jin, April 6,
"Electric
carmaker Tesla
(TSLA.O) will
make a
"dedicated"
self-driving
taxi that will
"look
futuristic,"
Chief
Executive Elon
Musk said on
Thursday,
without giving
a timeframe.
The
50-year-old
billionaire,
wearing a
black cowboy
hat and
sunglasses,
made the
comments at
the opening of
Tesla's $1.1
billion
factory in
Texas, which
is home to its
new
headquarters.
"Massive
scale.
Full
self-driving.
There's going
to be a
dedicated
robotaxi,"
Musk told a
large crowd at
the
factory...." Read
more
Hmmmm... Wow! It was brilliant for Elon to begin
focusing his
EVs on rich
Californians who already have a stable full of cars to go all the way to grandma's
house and back and
were really
looking for a
neat toy.
Elon followed the graceful rollout
of his
Supercharger
infrastructure
which enabled
the
upper-middle
class that
doesn't have a
backup fleet
and needs to
have a toy and
reliably go
back and forth
to grandma's
house.
Viola!!! No
longer just a
toy. Seamless
evolution to "Massive
Scale" scale
and Massive
Profitability.
RoboTaxis' evolution
to "Massive
Scale" is
turning out to
be different.
Starting with
rich
WesternStaters
doesn't seem
to be working
sociologically
for Waymo.
The rides
offered seem
to be taken
for
entertainment
and side-show
purposes
rather than
valued
enablers of
enhanced
quality of
life. Nice
for selfies,
but not much
more.
Recall
fundamental
value is to
provide a
safe,
high-quality
ride from A to
B. "Safe" is "safe", but
"high-quality"
is relative to
what one now
has readily
available.
For the rich,
that's where
they've
already put a
lot of money
to create for
themselves
something
really nice.
The chances
someone is
going to offer
something
better to an
individual
that has
crafted
something
perfect for
themselves is
slim-to-none.
Consequently,
the service is
used primarily
for taking
selfies.
For those that don't have their
own car for
whatever
reason (can't
drive, don't
want to, too
young, too
old, and/or
too poor)
their mobility
options are
simply
dreadful.
Absolutely
trivial for an
aTaxi service
to be viewed
as the quality
winner and
used to
provide
customer
accessibility,
improved
quality of
life,
endearment,
respect, love,
appreciation,
loyalty, and
use.
Consequently, if Elon is really
serious about
achieving "Massive
Scale"
then he should
basically flip
his Tesla
strategy and
start by
focusing on
serving the
mobility needs
of those that
will fully
appreciate and
gain the most
personal value
from his
market
offering;
- those that don't already have a
stable full of
their own
personal
mobility
options.
- those for which his aTaxi can
substantially
change their
lives for the
better.
These are the customers of Trenton
MOVES;
only about
50,000 of
Trenton's
90,000
population;
but 50,000
that will
really
appreciate
you. Start by
only serving
Trenton's 8
square mile
area with
about 100
vehicles and
only during
the best 350
days out of
the year's
365.25.
They'll be so appreciative and you
will have
provided the
spark that
will allow
your aTaxis
to go
viral! You'll
quickly serve
Mercer county,
Newark,
Camden,
Atlantic City,
New Brunswick,
Toms River,
Perth Amboy,
all of New
Jersey,
Eastern
Pennsylvania,
New York City
(except
Manhattan),
Long Island,
.....
That's the natural road to "Massive
Scale" for
Mobility for
all. Start
with those in
most need and
evolve to
convert those
that will
leave their
own cars
parked in
their
driveway.
"Massive
Scale"
starts with Trenton
MOVES. Alain
The Waymo
Team, March
30, "This
morning in San
Francisco, a
fully
autonomous
all-electric
Jaguar I-PACE,
with no human
driver behind
the wheel,
picked up a
Waymo engineer
to get their
morning coffee
and go to
work. Since
sharing that
we were ready
to take the
next step and
begin testing
fully
autonomous
operations in
the city,
we’ve begun
fully
autonomous
rides with our
San Francisco
employees.
They now join
the thousands
of Waymo One
riders we’ve
been serving
in Arizona,
making fully
autonomous
driving
technology
part of their
daily
lives...." Read
more
Hmmmm... Congratulations!
Enormous
accomplishment
and
fundamental
expression of
confidence in
your
technology.
Please come to
New Jersey
where we are
certain that
you can
actually
delier "Safe,
Equitable,
Affordable,
Sustainable,
HIgh-quality
Mobility" that
will
substantially
improve the
quality-of-life
of many by
transforming
affordable
housing into
affordable
living and
more.
Let's look at the
back-of-the-envelope
numbers...
Trenton:
Population: 90,000.
PersonTrips/Day (non-walking):
300,000
IntraTrenton: 150,000
PersonTripLength (90%tile): 10
miles
intraTrenton (100%tile) 5
miles
Operational Productivity:
VehicleTrips/Day: 50
Average Vehicle Occupancy
(AVO): 2
PersontTrips/VehicleDay: 100
PersonTrips/VehicleYear:
35,000
100 vehicle fleet
productivity:
10,000
PersonTrips/day
(1/15th market
penetration)
50% market penetration Fleet
requirements:
500 vehicles
(AVO =2.5) for
60
PersonTrips/VehicleDay).
Cost:
Depreciation/PersonTrip @
$200k/vehicle,
4 year life =
$200,000/(4*35,000) = $10/7 = $1.43/PersonTrip
Electricity + maintenance +
management +
... =
$0.57/PersonTrip
Cost = $2.00/PersonTrip
New Jersey:
Population: 9+ Million
PersonTrips/Day (non-walking):
>30 Million
IntraNJ + NJT/Septa to/from
NYC & PHL:
30 Million
PersonTripLength (90%tile): 10
miles
Operational Productivity
VehicleTrips/Day: 60
Average Vehicle Occupancy
(AVO): 2.5
PersontTrips/VehicleDay: 150
PersonTrips/VehicleYear:
50,000
10% market penetration (3
Million
PersonTrips/Day:
Fleet
requirements:
20,000
vehicles (AVO
=2.5) for 60
PersonTrips/VehicleDay).
Cost:
Depreciation/PersonTrip @
$200k/vehicle,
4 year life =
200,000/(4*35,000)= $10/7 = $1.43
Electricity + maintenance +
management ...
= $0.57
Cost per PersonTrip = $2.00
Revenue: (10% market penetration:
3M
personTrips/Day)
10% @ cost + 90% market
pricing:
10% @ $2.00/PersonTrip
(300,000*$2.00
=
$600,000/day;
$200M/year
90% @ $3.70/personTrip
(2.7M*3.70 =
$10M/day;
3.5B/year
(value
poposition
could hae the
average market
price even
higher than
$3.70/personTrip
(+$1.70 over
cost)
Profit: $1.70
*2.7M =
$4.6M/day =
$1.5B/year
Seems to me that Waymo should have
responded to
the NJ DoT
RfEI and
shouldn't be
completely
ignoring me.
I guess I'm
missing
something.
Maybe someone
else will call
me? 😎 Alain
K. Pyle,
Feb. 9, "Dr.
Alain
Kornhauser’s
vision of
bringing
equitable,
sustainable,
and affordable
mobility to
the people of
Trenton took
another step
forward with
the February
9th, 2022
announcement
(Facebook) of
a $5 million
NJDOT Local
Transportation
Planning Fund
Grant for the
Trenton
Mobility &
Opportunity:
Vehicles
Equity System
(MOVES)
Project (PDF).
The
significance
of this event
goes beyond
the grant
announcement..."
Read
more Hmmmm...
Ken, thank you for the kind words. Alain
Feb. 11, "The
New Jersey DOT
is providing 5
million
dollars to get
Trenton MOVES
moving. The
goal..autonomous,
affordable,
safe mobility
for all.
This is a
video of the
event held on
February
9th."
Read
more Hmmmm...
Fantastic even
with
challenging
audio. Turn
on Closed
Caption. The
substance is
in the quality
of the words
from the
Mayor,
Commissioner
and
Superintendent.
All from the
heart. Very
worth
absorbing.
Alain.
[log in to unmask]" alt="" class="" width="38" height="38">
Trenton MOVES
W.
Skaggs, Feb.
3,"We are
excited to
invite you to
join Mayor
Gusciora, N.J.
Department of
Transportation
(NJDOT)
Commissioner
Diane
Gutierrez-Scaccetti,
and Trenton
Public Schools
Superintendent
James Earle
to celebrate a
$5 million
award
from the NJDOT
Local
Transportation
Projects Fund
for an
unprecedented
public
transportation
project right
here in the
Capital City.
The project is
called the
Trenton
Mobility &
Opportunity:
Vehicular
Equity System
(MOVES)
initiative.
Originally
announced by
Governor
Murphy and
Commissioner
Gutierrez-Scaccetti
in December,
TrentonMOVES
seeks to
provide a
safe,
equitable, and
affordable
high-quality
on-demand
mobility
service to
Trenton
residents. The
effort is a
collaboration
between the
Governor’s
Office, NJDOT,
the City of
Trenton, and
Princeton
University.
The
$5 million
award is a
huge milestone
for the
project. This
will be the
first
large-scale
urban transit
system in
America to be
based entirely
on
self-driving
shuttles. Each
vehicle will
carry four to
eight
passengers at
a time. The
AVs will be
low-cost to
users in
underserved
neighborhoods.
The high
school will be
one of the
central
destinations
on the first
routes.
The
event will
take place at
11:00 a.m.
on
Wednesday,
Feb. 9, 2022
in the Trenton
Central High
School
auditorium.
Members of the
press will be
invited to
attend. ...."
Read
more Hmmmm...
Another real
milestone.
The Trenton MOVES RfEI closed
February 25,
with 20
submittals.
Next comes the
5thPrinceton
SmartDrivingCar Summit June 2 -> 4, 2022 in Princeton &
Trenton, NJ.
The Summit
will be
focused on
enabling
Trentonians to
get a first
glimpse at
technology and
mobility
systems that
can deliver
Trenton MOVES'
mobility
objectives
(Safety,
Equity,
Affordability,
Sustainability,..) and, very importantly, enabling technology and
mobility
companies to
learn the
market
opportunities
available to
be captured in
Trenton, the
rest of Mercer
County, and
throughout New
Jersey.
Trenton MOVES is a win-win
opportunity
for the
citizens of
New Jersey
(The Public)
and the
shareholders
of mobility provider(s) (The
Private), who
can come
together in a
Trenton MOVES
Public-Private-Partnership (PPP) that will be created through a Request
for Proposal
(RfP) process
commencing
shortly after
the close of
the Summit.
😁 Alain